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当前位置:首页 > 行业报告 > 投资金融 > 银行理财 > 汇丰银行-亚洲地区-宏观策略-中国推动下的亚洲经济-2019.4-107页

汇丰银行-亚洲地区-宏观策略-中国推动下的亚洲经济-2019.4-107页

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  • 2020-02-17 14:54:38
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1Economics●AsiaQ22019Bitofastumble.Afterholdingupwellformostof2018,activityinmuchofAsiahasstartedtosaglastquarter.Exportsarepartlytoblame,andnotjustbecauseofdisruptionsfromtheUS-Chinatradetensions:theglobalindustrialcycleisslippingandthedemandforelectronicshasweakenedsharply.Thegoodnews,however,isthatpolicymakersareresponding.TheFed,forone,signalledapauseforthisyear,whichopensupspaceforratecutsinanumberofmarkets.Morepotently,Chinabeatexpectationsandunveiledapunchytaxcutpackage.ThisshouldgoalongwaytostabilizeMainlanddemandinthecomingquarters,andtherebyputafloorunderregionaltrade.Thereis,itseems,stillsomegasleftinthetank.NowforthebiggerpictureItwasabumpyridelastyear,admittedly.Threebigshadowssuddenlyemergedovertheglobaleconomy.TheFed’stighteninglitafireunderthedollar,whippingfinancialmarketsabout,notleastinemergingmarketsespeciallysensitivetochangesinglobalfundingcosts.Then,tradetensionsbetweentheUSandChinariskedputtingadentinexports,whileraisinggreaterquestionsaboutthefutureshapeofthew

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